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Capital Markets Remain Healthy

CCIM Institute
Posted December 27th 2012

Commercial real estate capital markets remain stable despite rising uncertainty about the looming fiscal cliff, according to a recent Marcus & Millichap report. CMBS issuance volume this year is expected to top 2011’s by more than $17 billion, but is not expected to return to a healthy level until 2013.

Overall lending volume rose 25 percent between 2Q11 and 2Q12, according to the report. Loans for retail properties increased 56 percent, lending in the hospitality and multifamily sectors rose 22 percent and 19 percent respectively, and office lending increased 15 percent. The industrial sector saw the only lending decline in this cycle, falling 5 percent.

Other highlights in the report include:

  • National banks’ share of originations increased to 30 percent.
  • Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are expected to lend about $45 billion by year-end.
  • Nearly 55 percent of loans were resolved this year from an estimated default total of $375 billion.
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30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage Finishes Year Near Historic Low

MCLEAN, Va., Dec. 27, 2012 /PRNewswire/ — Freddie Mac (OTC: FMCC) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), showing the average fixed mortgage rates finishing the year near record lows, helping to keep homebuyer affordability high. The 30-year fixed eased slightly this week to average 3.35 percent, while the 15-year fixed remained unchanged at 2.65 percent.

News Facts

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.35 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending December 27, 2012, down from last week when it averaged 3.37 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.95 percent.
  • 15-year FRM this week averaged 2.65 percent with an average 0.7 point, unchanged from last week when it averaged 2.65 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 3.24 percent.
  • 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 2.70 percent this week with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 2.71 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 2.88 percent.
  • 1-year Treasury-indexed ARM averaged 2.56 percent this week with an average 0.5 point, up from last week when it averaged 2.52. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 2.78 percent.

Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total upfront cost of obtaining the mortgage. Visit the following links for Regional and National Mortgage Rate Details and Definitions. Borrowers may still pay closing costs which are not included in the survey.

Quotes

Attributed to Frank Nothaft, vice president and chief economist, Freddie Mac.

“Mortgage rates ended this year near record lows. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.66 percent for 2012, the lowest annual average in at least 65 years. Rates on 30-year fixed mortgages were nearly 0.6 percentage points below that of the beginning of the year, which translates into an interest payment savings of nearly $98,600 over the life of a $200,000 loan. Moreover, opting for a 15-year fixed mortgage at today’s rates, a homeowner could save an additional $138,400 in interest payments.”

Get the latest information from Freddie Mac’s Office of the Chief Economist on Twitter: @FreddieMac

Freddie Mac was established by Congress in 1970 to provide liquidity, stability and affordability to the nation’s residential mortgage markets. Freddie Mac supports communities across the nation by providing mortgage capital to lenders. Today Freddie Mac is making home possible for one in four homebuyers and is one of the largest sources of financing for multifamily housing. www.FreddieMac.com.

SOURCE Freddie Mac

For further information: MEDIA, Ruth Fisher, +1-703-903-3974, [email protected]

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U.K. Home-Building Drags, Unlike the U.S.

By PETER EVANS- The Wall Street Journal

U.K. home builders are continuing to struggle with weak demand even as their counterparts in the U.S. enjoy a housing recovery that is enabling them to ramp up production.

Construction was started on 98,020 new homes in the U.K. in the year ended Sept. 30, a 9% decline from the previous year and down from a peak of 183,000 in 2006, according to U.K. government figures.

That contrasts with the U.S. housing market, where consumer confidence is at its highest level in six years, and builders are putting up homes at the fastest pace in more than four years. They are encouraged by rising home-sale prices and increased demand stemming from the lowest mortgage rates in decades.

Part of the difference is that the U.S. economy is stronger. In November, the U.S. added 146,000 jobs, according to the Labor Department, while the rate of unemployment dropped to 7.7%, its lowest level since December 2008.

To be sure, the U.K. employment outlook also is brightening. The country added 40,000 jobs in the quarter that ended in October, according to the latest available figures from the Office for National Statistics. The unemployment rate fell to 7.8% from 8% in the previous quarter.

But the euro-zone crisis weighs heavier on the U.K. than on the U.S. Also, the U.K. has just emerged from a double-dip recession and faces a fresh round of austerity measures in the new year.

At the same time, prices are moving in different directions in U.S. and U.K. housing market. In the U.K., house prices are projected to fall between 5% and 10% in the next two years, according to Fitch Ratings, adding another disincentive for home builders.

Meanwhile, prices have begun to rise in many markets in the U.S., as demand has returned and supply has tightened. So far in 2012, the rise in prices has been the fastest since 2005, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller national price index.

Price increases play a big role in market psychology.

“In view of the tightening supply and other improving conditions, many potential buyers who were on the fence are now motivated to move forward with a purchase in order to take advantage of today’s favorable prices and interest rates,” said Barry Rutenberg, chairman of the U.S. National Association of Home Builders.

There are some positive forces at work in the U.K. home-building market. Many home builders have cash on their balance sheets, and land is cheap.

Also, the rate of home buying has been much slower than normal, indicating there likely is pent-up demand. More people in their twenties and thirties still live with their parents than at any time in the past two decades, according to the Office for National Statistics.

But fears over job security and falling real wages mean many potential first-time homeowners are unwilling or unable to save for a mortgage deposit.

Credit also remains tight in the U.K. Mortgage approvals have hovered around 40,000 to 50,000 a month for several years, compared with more than 100,000 a month before the financial crisis.

“House builders have done what they can, but there’s a limit to what private businesses can do to shape the market,” said Steve Turner, a spokesman for the Home Builders Federation, an industry association. “Ultimately, we need to see the banks lending more so people who can afford to service a mortgage can buy.”

Home builders in many areas also continue to face an arduous planning and government approval process. That may further restrict supply even if demand increases.

Because of the weak market, some home builders are reluctant to buy land in anticipation of new development, a process known as land-banking.

“The fact that house prices are slightly down means we’re not looking to grow our land bank,” said David Thomas, finance director at U.K. home builder Barratt Developments PLC.

Land-bank reductions indicate home builders are less prepared for a surge in demand if the U.K. market starts to recover, but any uptick is some way off, Mr. Thomas added. “Improvement is going to take time,” he said. “The banks have got to be looking at a stable environment before they start lending again.”

The differences between the U.K and U.S. markets are cultural, as well as structural, analysts say. In Britain, household debt remains high and bankruptcy is only a last resort, whereas in the U.S., many households have defaulted on repayments and started again with no debt, often in a different state.

“In the U.S., the private sector has deleveraged by mortgage default,” said Anil Jhangiani, director of corporates at Fitch Ratings Ltd., which carried out a recent study on U.K. home builders. “The U.K. should follow the U.S. housing recovery given time, but both remain fragile and face significant headwinds.”

Write to Peter Evans at [email protected]

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Moody’s se equivoca sobre el crédito de Puerto Rico

Articulo de: www.metro.pr

La agencia acreditora Moody’s emitió un aviso esta mañana corrigiendo la clasificación del crédito de Puerto Rico, específicamente de la Corporación para el Financiamiento Público de Puerto Rico.
Según el informe original, del 13 de diciembre de este año, la agencia evaluadora había colocado los bonos 1998A en la clasificación Ba1, lo que ponía la calidad del crédito en nivel cuestionable.
No obstante, Moody’s aclaró hoy que un error adminstrativo fue lo que los llevó a emitir esa opinión, sin embargo, realmente los bonos debieron haberse clasificado en el nivel Aaa.
El nuevo nivel crediticio coloca a los bonos en un rango preferencial puesto que son obligaciones de la más alta calidad, con un grado pequeño de riesgo.

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¡A son de Chicharrón y Fiesta!

A son de Chicharrón, Alegria y Fiesta, celebramos hoy nuestro intercambio de regalos en nuestra sucursal de Caguas, aqui les compartimos algunas fotos de tan alegre y especial evento. De parte de nuestra gran familia a la de todos, queremos desearles, una Navidad llena de Paz y Alegria y un año nuevo lleno de exito!

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¡Senado aprueba proyecto 2741!

El Senado de Puerto Rico ha aprobado el Proyecto del Senado 2741, legislación que extiende los incentivos del Programa de Estímulo al 30 de junio de 2013. Aún está pendiente la aprobación en la Cámara de Representantes. ¡En hora buena!

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Home building slows, but still going strong.

By Chris Isidore @CNNMoney December 19, 2012: 10:21 AM ET

The pace of home building slowed slightly in November but remained near the four-year high reached the previous month, according to a government report released Tuesday.

Builders started construction at an annual pace of 861,000 homes last month, the Census Bureau reported, down 3% from October’s pace. But that still put starts 21.6% above year-ago levels — another sign of the recent rebound in the housing market.

Part of the decline may have been the aftermath of Superstorm Sandy, which hit the Northeast on Oct. 29. The pace of housing starts in the Northeast dropped 5.2% compared with October.

But it’s not just the storm’s impact that lowered home construction in the impacted area, according to Pat Newport, a housing market analysts with IHS Global Insight. “Builder sentiment in the Northeast is a lot weaker than elsewhere,” he said.

Applications in the Northeast for new building permits, which are less affected by weather than are actual starts and are seen as an indicator of builders’ confidence in the market, were down 5% in November, compared with a year earlier.

That contrasted sharply with the rest of the country where large gains in permits were recorded. These ranged from 22.2% in the West, to 29.2% in the South and a whopping 49.5% in the Midwest. Overall, new building permits rose 3.6% from October’s level and 26.8% compared with November of 2011.

Those increases have builders feeling good about housing. A survey by the National Association of Home Builders Tuesday showed the highest level of confidence in the market since April of 2006, just before the housing bubble burst.

he housing market has been showing numerous other signs of recovery in recent months. Demand for homes have been helped by mortgage rates near record lows.

“What’s driving demand is low inventories and low interest rates,” said Newport.

The Federal Reserve’s decision to buy $40 billion in mortgages every month is likely to keep rates low for the foreseeable future. The low mortgage rates, coupled with affordable housing prices and an improving job market have helped to restart home sales.

Foreclosures have fallen to a five-year low, reducing the supply of distressed homes available on the market and helping to lift home prices, giving builders more incentive to start building again. And four years of depressed levels of home building have cut the supply of new homes on the market to near-record lows, according to a separate government report.

The rebounding in the housing market and building has helped to lift the stocks of publicly traded builders, with Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) and DR Horton (DHI) both up about 60% in 2012, and Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV) and PulteGroup (PHA) each recording triple digit gains for the year.

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CCIM Transactions Top $1.7 Billion in 2012

From CCIM Institute

CCIM-brokered transactions reported in Commercial Investment Real Estate magazine’s Deal Makers column this year totaled more than $1.7 billion. This total represents only a fraction of deals submitted to the magazine for publication. Office transactions led the pack at $535.8 million, followed by retail ($339.5 million), industrial ($232.1 million), land ($167.4 million), financing ($162.4 million), multifamily ($152.8 million), mixed-use ($89.8 million), specialty ($73.4 million), and hospitality ($9.7 million).

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Buscan extender incentivos

Via endi.com, Bienes Raices Hoy

El Senado y la Cámara de Representantes radicaron sendos proyectos el lunes para extender la fecha de vencimiento de los incentivos vigentes bajo el programa Impulso a la Vivienda hasta el 30 de junio de 2013.

Los incentivos vencían al 31 de diciembre.

Las medidas, además de extender la vigencia de los incentivos, incluye disposiciones para flexibilizar el periodo que tienen los beneficiaros para cumplir con las horas de servicio comunitario cuando se acogen a los beneficios del programa Mi Nuevo Hogar.

Según la exposición de motivos, los incentivos otorgados bajo la Ley de Estímulo al Mercado de Propiedades Inmuebles, así como “Ley de Transición del Programa de Impulso a la Vivienda” y la orden ejecutiva 2012-27, facilitaron que más de 29,000 familias adquirieran una vivienda.

Agrega que, por medio de Mi Nuevo Hogar, se han vendido más de 35,000 unidades con un valor de $5,000 millones desde su implantación a mediados del año 2009.

Uno de los beneficios que otorga este programa a los participantes es que estos no tienen que devolver el monto del incentivo otorgado por la Autoridad para el Financiamiento de la Vivienda (AFV) si permanecen en la propiedad por 10 años o más.

Esta exención requiere que durante los 12 meses subsiguientes a la fecha de la compraventa, el beneficiario participe en 50 horas de programas de servicio a la comunidad.

La medida radicada el lunes propone que suba el periodo de 12 meses a 36 meses.

La semana pasada, miembros de diferentes organismos del sector de la construcción se reunieron con el gobernador electo, Alejandro García Padilla, y entre las solicitudes que hicieron estuvo la extensión de los incentivos para la compra de viviendas.

Esto supone excelentes noticias para aquella personas que desean lograr el sueñ de tener su propio Hogar y aun no se han decidido a dar ese gran paso.

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¡Se enciende la Navidad en Reality Realty!

Como es costumbre, todos los años celebramos nuestro encendido de navidad en la sucursal de Caguas, donde marcamos el inicio de tan alegre temporada con el encendido de nuestro árbol de navidad.

De parte de la gran familia de Reality Realty queremos desearles a todos nuestros clientes, compañeros y todo Puerto Rico una NAVIDAD llena de PAZ y ALEGRIA.

Aquí compartimos algunas de fotos del evento con ustedes.

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